East Carolina
W-L: (31-27) PR = 91.2801Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Villanova BE ( 0-19, 88.0) 1- 0 206 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 1- 9 207 H Villanova BE ( 0-19, 88.0) 11- 4 208 A Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 2- 6 208 A Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 6-13 213 H Buffalo MA ( 1-13, 87.8) 8- 7 213 H Notre Dame ACC (24-29, 93.0) 3- 6 214 H Notre Dame ACC (24-29, 93.0) 4- 3 214 H Maryland B10 (19-30, 90.3) 1- 4 215 A Idaho State BSKY ( 8-10, 91.3) 2- 4 218 H UNC Wilmington CA ( 2-11, 89.9) 6- 1 220 H James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 6- 4 220 H Towson CA ( 1- 2, 92.5) 0- 2 221 H Towson CA ( 1- 2, 92.5) 4- 3 221 H St. Bonaventure A10 ( 0- 6, 87.0) 9- 1 222 H James Madison SB (28-21, 92.7) 5- 7 224 A Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 5- 4 227 H Rider MAAC ( 0- 4, 85.4) 10- 2 228 H St. John's BE ( 2- 3, 92.6) 2- 1 228 H Rider MAAC ( 0- 4, 85.4) 7- 2 301 H St. John's BE ( 2- 3, 92.6) 2- 1 301 H Campbell CA ( 5- 9, 92.1) 4- 9 301 H St. John's BE ( 2- 3, 92.6) 2- 1 301 H Campbell CA ( 5- 9, 92.1) 4- 9 304 A Campbell CA ( 5- 9, 92.1) 2- 1 306 H Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 5-14 307 H Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 8- 0 308 H Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 3- 0 313 A Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 1-10 314 A Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 3- 1 314 A Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 3- 2 317 H Elon CA ( 1-14, 87.0) 10- 1 320 A Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 1- 2 321 A Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 6- 3 322 A Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 16- 5 325 H Stanford ACC (38-15, 96.3) 2- 7 327 A UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 1- 7 328 A Illinois B10 (16-39, 90.0) 2-14 329 H UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 2- 4 331 A UNC Wilmington CA ( 2-11, 89.9) 0- 6 402 H Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 6- 4 403 H Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 1- 8 404 H Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 2- 0 407 H NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 2- 5 410 A North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 1- 5 411 A North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 3- 4 411 A North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 8- 2 414 H North Carolina ACC (31-19, 93.8) 3- 7 417 H South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 1- 0 418 H South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 2- 1 419 H South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 1- 3 424 A Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 1- 2 425 A Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 2- 0 426 H Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 5-13 428 H South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 2- 9 501 H UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 2- 1 501 H UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 8- 6 503 H UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 5- 2
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Alabama 1- 9 -8 -9 0.60
207 H Villanova 11- 4 7 4 + 2.93
208 A Georgia Tech 2- 6 -4 -4 0.30
208 A Georgia Tech 6-13 -7 -4 - -2.70
213 H Buffalo 8- 7 1 4 - -3.26
213 H Notre Dame 3- 6 -3 -1 - -2.03
214 H Notre Dame 4- 3 1 -1 1.97
214 H Maryland 1- 4 -3 2 -- -4.77
215 A Idaho State 2- 4 -2 -1 -1.20
218 H UNC Wilmington 6- 1 5 2 + 2.86
220 H James Madison 6- 4 2 -1 + 2.71
220 H Towson 0- 2 -2 0 -1.52
221 H Towson 4- 3 1 0 1.48
221 H St. Bonaventure 9- 1 8 5 + 2.93
222 H James Madison 5- 7 -2 -1 -1.29
224 A Duke 5- 4 1 -6 +++ 7.08
227 H Rider 10- 2 8 7 1.35
228 H St. John's 2- 1 1 -1 1.55
228 H Rider 7- 2 5 7 -1.65
301 H St. John's 2- 1 1 -1 1.55
301 H Campbell 4- 9 -5 0 -- -4.93
301 H St. John's 2- 1 1 -1 1.55
301 H Campbell 4- 9 -5 0 -- -4.93
304 A Campbell 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.55
306 H Wichita State 5-14 -9 -3 --- -6.37
307 H Wichita State 8- 0 8 -3 +++ 10.63
308 H Wichita State 3- 0 3 -3 ++ 5.63
313 A Florida Atlantic 1-10 -9 -4 -- -4.88
314 A Florida Atlantic 3- 1 2 -4 +++ 6.12
314 A Florida Atlantic 3- 2 1 -4 ++ 5.12
317 H Elon 10- 1 9 5 + 3.98
320 A Memphis 1- 2 -1 1 - -2.08
321 A Memphis 6- 3 3 1 1.92
322 A Memphis 16- 5 11 1 +++ 9.92
325 H Stanford 2- 7 -5 -4 -0.69
327 A UTEP 1- 7 -6 2 --- -7.90
328 A Illinois 2-14 -12 1 --- -12.54
329 H UAB 2- 4 -2 1 - -2.55
331 A UNC Wilmington 0- 6 -6 1 --- -6.66
402 H Charlotte 6- 4 2 0 + 2.28
403 H Charlotte 1- 8 -7 0 --- -6.72
404 H Charlotte 2- 0 2 0 + 2.28
407 H NC State 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.25
410 A North Texas 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.08
411 A North Texas 3- 4 -1 -2 0.92
411 A North Texas 8- 2 6 -2 +++ 7.92
414 H North Carolina 3- 7 -4 -2 - -2.23
418 H South Florida 2- 1 1 -1 + 2.42
419 H South Florida 1- 3 -2 -1 -0.58
424 A Tulsa 1- 2 -1 -1 0.30
425 A Tulsa 2- 0 2 -1 + 3.30
426 H Auburn 5-13 -8 -3 -- -5.27
428 H South Carolina 2- 9 -7 -3 -- -4.05
501 H UTSA 2- 1 1 2 -0.67
501 H UTSA 8- 6 2 2 0.33
503 H UTSA 5- 2 3 2 1.33
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 H Wichita State 5-14 -9 -3 --- -6.37 327 A UTEP 1- 7 -6 2 --- -7.90 328 A Illinois 2-14 -12 1 --- -12.54 331 A UNC Wilmington 0- 6 -6 1 --- -6.66 403 H Charlotte 1- 8 -7 0 --- -6.72 214 H Maryland 1- 4 -3 2 -- -4.77 301 H Campbell 4- 9 -5 0 -- -4.93 301 H Campbell 4- 9 -5 0 -- -4.93 313 A Florida Atlantic 1-10 -9 -4 -- -4.88 426 H Auburn 5-13 -8 -3 -- -5.27 428 H South Carolina 2- 9 -7 -3 -- -4.05 208 A Georgia Tech 6-13 -7 -4 - -2.70 213 H Buffalo 8- 7 1 4 - -3.26 213 H Notre Dame 3- 6 -3 -1 - -2.03 320 A Memphis 1- 2 -1 1 - -2.08 329 H UAB 2- 4 -2 1 - -2.55 407 H NC State 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.25 410 A North Texas 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.08 414 H North Carolina 3- 7 -4 -2 - -2.23 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 A Duke 5- 4 1 -6 +++ 7.08 307 H Wichita State 8- 0 8 -3 +++ 10.63 314 A Florida Atlantic 3- 1 2 -4 +++ 6.12 322 A Memphis 16- 5 11 1 +++ 9.92 411 A North Texas 8- 2 6 -2 +++ 7.92 308 H Wichita State 3- 0 3 -3 ++ 5.63 314 A Florida Atlantic 3- 2 1 -4 ++ 5.12 207 H Villanova 11- 4 7 4 + 2.93 218 H UNC Wilmington 6- 1 5 2 + 2.86 220 H James Madison 6- 4 2 -1 + 2.71 221 H St. Bonaventure 9- 1 8 5 + 2.93 304 A Campbell 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.55 317 H Elon 10- 1 9 5 + 3.98 402 H Charlotte 6- 4 2 0 + 2.28 404 H Charlotte 2- 0 2 0 + 2.28 418 H South Florida 2- 1 1 -1 + 2.42 425 A Tulsa 2- 0 2 -1 + 3.30 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Villanova ( 0-19, 88.0) 1- 0 -11.95 7.42 0.74 0.43 7.09
0 A Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 1- 9 -0.76 18.61 0.74 0.43 -0.00
0 H Villanova ( 0-19, 88.0) 11- 4 -11.95 7.42 -0.74 0.43 5.80
0 A Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 2- 6 -5.06 14.31 0.74 0.43 -0.94
0 A Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 6-13 -5.06 14.31 0.74 0.43 -0.94
0 H Buffalo ( 1-13, 87.8) 8- 7 -12.14 7.23 -0.74 0.43 5.64
0 H Notre Dame (24-29, 93.0) 3- 6 -6.91 12.46 -0.74 0.43 -1.66
0 H Notre Dame (24-29, 93.0) 4- 3 -6.91 12.46 -0.74 0.43 10.18
0 H Maryland (19-30, 90.3) 1- 4 -9.64 9.73 -0.74 0.43 -2.26
0 A Idaho State ( 8-10, 91.3) 2- 4 -8.57 10.80 0.74 0.43 -1.70
0 H UNC Wilmington ( 2-11, 89.9) 6- 1 -10.02 9.35 -0.74 0.43 7.48
0 H James Madison (28-21, 92.7) 6- 4 -7.17 12.20 -0.74 0.43 9.96
0 H Towson ( 1- 2, 92.5) 0- 2 -7.39 11.97 -0.74 0.43 -1.77
0 H Towson ( 1- 2, 92.5) 4- 3 -7.39 11.97 -0.74 0.43 9.76
0 H St. Bonaventur ( 0- 6, 87.0) 9- 1 -12.94 6.43 -0.74 0.43 4.94
0 H James Madison (28-21, 92.7) 5- 7 -7.17 12.20 -0.74 0.43 -1.72
0 A Duke (46-15, 96.6) 5- 4 -3.29 16.08 0.74 0.43 14.62
0 H Rider ( 0- 4, 85.4) 10- 2 -14.53 4.84 -0.74 0.43 3.57
0 H St. John's ( 2- 3, 92.6) 2- 1 -7.32 12.05 -0.74 0.43 9.82
0 H Rider ( 0- 4, 85.4) 7- 2 -14.53 4.84 -0.74 0.43 3.57
0 H St. John's ( 2- 3, 92.6) 2- 1 -7.32 12.05 -0.74 0.43 9.82
0 H Campbell ( 5- 9, 92.1) 4- 9 -7.81 11.56 -0.74 0.43 -1.86
0 H St. John's ( 2- 3, 92.6) 2- 1 -7.32 12.05 -0.74 0.43 9.82
0 H Campbell ( 5- 9, 92.1) 4- 9 -7.81 11.56 -0.74 0.43 -1.86
0 A Campbell ( 5- 9, 92.1) 2- 1 -7.81 11.56 0.74 0.43 10.69
0 H Wichita State (36-16, 94.7) 5-14 -5.24 14.13 -0.74 0.43 -1.30
0 H Wichita State (36-16, 94.7) 8- 0 -5.24 14.13 -0.74 0.43 11.63
0 H Wichita State (36-16, 94.7) 3- 0 -5.24 14.13 -0.74 0.43 11.63
0 A Florida Atlant (33-21, 94.7) 1-10 -5.24 14.13 0.74 0.43 -0.98
0 A Florida Atlant (33-21, 94.7) 3- 1 -5.24 14.13 0.74 0.43 12.92
0 A Florida Atlant (33-21, 94.7) 3- 2 -5.24 14.13 0.74 0.43 12.92
0 H Elon ( 1-14, 87.0) 10- 1 -12.90 6.47 -0.74 0.43 4.98
0 A Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 1- 2 -10.44 8.93 0.74 0.43 -2.11
0 A Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 6- 3 -10.44 8.93 0.74 0.43 8.41
0 A Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 16- 5 -10.44 8.93 0.74 0.43 8.41
0 H Stanford (38-15, 96.3) 2- 7 -3.57 15.80 -0.74 0.43 -0.94
0 A UTEP (13-37, 88.6) 1- 7 -11.26 8.11 0.74 0.43 -2.29
0 A Illinois (16-39, 90.0) 2-14 -9.90 9.47 0.74 0.43 -1.99
0 H UAB (21-32, 91.5) 2- 4 -8.43 10.94 -0.74 0.43 -1.99
0 A UNC Wilmington ( 2-11, 89.9) 0- 6 -10.02 9.35 0.74 0.43 -2.02
0 H Charlotte (29-27, 92.3) 6- 4 -7.60 11.77 -0.74 0.43 9.58
0 H Charlotte (29-27, 92.3) 1- 8 -7.60 11.77 -0.74 0.43 -1.81
0 H Charlotte (29-27, 92.3) 2- 0 -7.60 11.77 -0.74 0.43 9.58
0 H NC State (28-26, 92.8) 2- 5 -7.13 12.24 -0.74 0.43 -1.71
0 A North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 1- 5 -7.44 11.93 0.74 0.43 -1.46
0 A North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 3- 4 -7.44 11.93 0.74 0.43 -1.46
0 A North Texas (31-24, 92.5) 8- 2 -7.44 11.93 0.74 0.43 11.01
0 H North Carolina (31-19, 93.8) 3- 7 -6.11 13.26 -0.74 0.43 -1.49
0 H South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 1- 0 -6.46 12.91 -0.74 0.43 10.58
0 H South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 2- 1 -6.46 12.91 -0.74 0.43 10.58
0 H South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 1- 3 -6.46 12.91 -0.74 0.43 -1.56
0 A Tulsa (20-31, 91.8) 1- 2 -8.06 11.31 0.74 0.43 -1.59
0 A Tulsa (20-31, 91.8) 2- 0 -8.06 11.31 0.74 0.43 10.47
0 H Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 5-13 -5.15 14.22 -0.74 0.43 -1.28
0 H South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 2- 9 -4.93 14.44 -0.74 0.43 -1.23
0 H UTSA (24-33, 90.4) 2- 1 -9.55 9.82 -0.74 0.43 7.89
0 H UTSA (24-33, 90.4) 8- 6 -9.55 9.82 -0.74 0.43 7.89
0 H UTSA (24-33, 90.4) 5- 2 -9.55 9.82 -0.74 0.43 7.89
------
237.26
|
winning pts = 279.1673 losing points = -41.9044
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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